交通银行：今年国内房价总体向上 涨幅约4%

Bank of communications: this year the domestic prices overall upward or 4%

On January 22,, bank of communications release 2013 the economic and financial outlook report. For the real estate market, bank of communications think, because developers capital position better wait for a reason, 2013 domestic prices overall upward, the house price is expected to rise about 4%.

The report shows, bank of communications is mainly based on the following reasons: one is the appeal or forecast in 2013 real estate market supply speed to slow, comprehensive clinch a deal the sustained progress to see, the price of the house faces upward pressure; The second is developers capital position, debt level and inventory pressure were significantly improved, and the price in the amount of power price reduced; Three is a loose credit environment and market clinch a deal will stimulate the market continues to heat up the person that buy a house to prop up house prices keep rising.

In 2013 the real estate market policy level, bank of communications, the policy is expected to overall will still continue "or investment, the just need, heavy security" advocate fundamental key unchanged. At the same time, the real estate tax reform pilot after preliminary studies preparation, is expected in 2013, to promote the short term, but still do not have spread to open completely market basis and objective conditions.

In the market level, bank of communications, the expected development investment growth will go back up to 20%, the new commenced area is about 10% growth. Clinch a deal will enter a "mild rise" channel, annual sales area year-on-year growth is expected to back up to 5%, sales growth of 10%.

In addition, the bank of communications also announced the other major economic data is expected to forecast: 2013 GDP growth at around 8.5%; CPI up between 3% and 3.5%, year-on-year PPI is about 0-1%; Export growth around 8.5%; The actual consumption growth back up to 12.5%.