Bank of communications financial research center released yesterday "in 2013, the Chinese macro economic and financial outlook, report judgment, 2013 years of steady monetary policy will be a real sense of" neutral ", no further relax at the same time also will not be significantly tightened.
The report is expected to 2013 a modest increase in credit availability, the new loans in 9 trillion - 9.5 trillion or so. Bank of communications chief economist even flat said. "stable currency" mainly reflects in keeping the monetary aggregates steady growth and the overall market liquidity loose.
The report is expected to maintain the basic stability of benchmark interest rate more likely. Since there are further reduce financing cost needs, do not eliminate in the first half of the price increase is not high in small cut 1, 0.25% of may. The report also is expected to deposit reserve rate cut at the beginning of May 1-2 times, each time by 0.5%.
The report also predicts that China's economic growth this year pull the troika present stabilised picks up situation, economic growth is expected to end after two consecutive years of descending trend, the level of around 8.5%. The report also pointed out that in the short term, this year China's economic operation still may face the risk of overheating investment and prices go up, house prices rebound, capital inflows, currency appreciation and so on four aspects of pressure, China's macro-control departments need to deal with in advance.
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